Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 308.884449 350.667017 397.435664 453.931346 520.680478 597.464710 693.099444
2025-02-02 258.478257 315.877426 386.356427 480.419370 604.437900 764.904786 992.495762
2025-02-09 222.847469 285.077183 366.077751 481.424746 645.140783 875.060048 1233.449181
2025-02-16 193.414344 256.064163 341.301734 468.939649 661.016832 949.396102 1436.102523
2025-02-23 171.959491 234.226850 322.136599 459.525639 677.036688 1023.523705 1652.264159
2025-03-02 160.448196 224.555655 318.339520 471.156984 725.607821 1156.052993 1998.497661
2025-03-09 148.085515 211.999221 308.337390 471.007321 753.971073 1258.796329 2317.050040
2025-03-16 135.514830 197.704507 293.827878 461.123866 763.319839 1328.217098 2587.784974
2025-03-23 127.016215 188.800820 286.712528 462.387632 792.151079 1439.119206 2979.217617
2025-03-30 117.471182 177.318976 274.140969 452.337509 797.891238 1504.613766 3286.536999
2025-04-06 110.506401 169.391098 266.652984 450.338609 818.622108 1605.148064 3713.381183
2025-04-13 101.013597 156.522930 249.562687 428.530651 796.063684 1606.116079 3878.251119
2025-04-20 98.666626 155.657478 253.545171 447.752772 863.210411 1830.166882 4769.115062
2025-04-27 97.324099 156.403920 260.480736 473.763011 950.262031 2126.736216 6037.920841
2025-05-04 92.665586 150.916005 255.431912 474.754030 980.782518 2287.153338 6943.661667
2025-05-11 86.763930 142.759752 244.662786 462.481263 977.911080 2356.659487 7558.150770
2025-05-18 81.764542 135.893032 235.780176 453.226707 980.949896 2444.246936 8298.066145
2025-05-25 79.561691 134.003491 236.347020 464.660959 1038.043226 2708.406163 9965.723441
2025-06-01 76.254650 129.808601 231.992470 464.513839 1065.049030 2887.825959 11386.193156
2025-06-08 72.218882 123.968721 223.872206 454.797919 1064.694461 2978.351768 12436.448041
2025-06-15 69.576352 120.630464 220.583783 456.040309 1095.060348 3183.855836 14296.450796
2025-06-22 66.069712 115.400447 212.991828 446.159803 1092.079322 3270.385840 15544.920834
2025-06-29 63.530176 111.920272 208.818800 444.194534 1112.184144 3450.396984 17583.093362